The market meltdown since its January 8 peak has made private investments in public equity (PIPE) unprofitable as 2007's deal size of $5.31 billion is currently valued at $5.29 billion.Of the seven deals in the real estate sector, five are profitable while two made losses. Similarly, of the 17 deals in manufacturing sector, 13 reported loss.
Early birds post better profit growth than the preceding two quarters.A total of 345 companies have so far declared their results. Analysis of the results of a common sample of 237 companies showed that the net profit growth at 21.97 per cent was better than that recorded in the previous two quarters
The fourth quarter (January-March) is usually a weak quarter for the Indian IT companies due to the lesser number of billing days. This time, however, the good news is that the rupee has depreciated by about 1.3 per cent during the quarter. Every increase/decrease of a percentage point in the rupee lowers/adds to the operating (EBIDTA) margins by 30-50 basis points (bps).
India Inc looks all set to grow at a slow pace in the current financial year. That is, if the financial performance of Corporate India for the first nine months of 2007-2008 is any indicator of things to come.
Report sees the index at 16,000 points in the worst-case scenario.
The rising cost of production and interest outgo have shrunk operating margins by 53 basis points to 15.16 per cent in the quarter ended December 2007, while net profit margin has slipped 39 basis points to 9.31 per cent as compared to 9.70 per cent in the corresponding quarter a year ago.
Short covering also took place in RNRL (futures up 22 per cent, OI down by 51.48 lakh shares), Reliance Energy (futures up 18.6 per cent, OI down by 57,750 shares) and NTPC (futures up 13.3 per cent, OI down by 25.11 lakh shares).
The market wide open interest declined by 15 per cent and is 25-30 per cent below the peak levels, indicating covering of long positions. The Nifty futures OI declined further by 19.5 per cent or 74.45 lakh shares. The current Nifty January OI of 30.97 million shares is the lowest for the current month series.
The results of quarter ended December 07 are less impressive than the corresponding quarter last fiscal. However, it is premature to conclude about the overall performance of companies.
They have increased their holdings in Infosys Technologies, TCS and Wipro between two and four per cent, going by the shareholding data for the quarter ended December 31, 2007.
The Essar group of Shashi and Ravi Ruia was the biggest overseas borrowers, mobilising $4.67 billion for Essar Global ($3.59 billion) and Essar Oil ($1.08 billion). AV Metal mobilised $3.1 billion followed by Reliance Industries ($2.7 billion), OP Jindal group ($2.40 billion), Tata Steel ($2.38 billion), Guru Gobindsingh Refineries ($1.95 billion), Suzlon Energy ($1.87 billion) and ICICI Bank ($1.8 billion).
The BSE Small-Cap Index (up 34 per cent) and the BSE Mid-Cap Index (up 28 per cent) have outperformed the Sensex (up 16 per cent) in the last two-and-a-half months, while the NSE Junior Nifty (up 25.4 per cent) and the NSE Mid-Cap Index (up 30.2 per cent) have beaten the S&P CNX Nifty (up 20.4 per cent) during the same period.
The software sector has once again underlined its importance to the country by accounting for more than half of the total jobs created by Indian industry in the last financial year.
In the first 10 months of CY07, Indian firms received orders worth Rs 128,147 crore.
The incessant rise of the rupee, which has dented the bottom line of export-oriented companies, has another side to it. With the Indian currency's value against the dollar moving from 44 on March 30 this year to under 40 now, a bunch of companies have received a boost. The corporate results of the second quarter make a telling revelation. As the rupee rose 10 per cent against the dollar, net import-based companies reported nearly 36 per cent growth in net profit.
Second-quarter corporate results show a significant slowdown in sales and profit growth.
The lower sales growth rate is on account of single-digit growth in sales by Reliance Industries (6.3 per cent), Reliance Energy (9.53 per cent), Hero Honda (5.48 per cent) and Biocon (7.52 per cent). Companies that posted a decline in sales included two-wheeler giant Bajaj Auto (- 3.03 per cent), pharmaceutical major Ranbaxy (-4.79 per cent) and Madras Aluminium (-11.13 per cent).
The country's two ubiquitous financial powerhouses, HDFC and ICICI Bank, have been the darling of participatory notes, the instrument through which overseas investors invest indirectly - through foreign institutional investors - in India's stock market. Among the stocks comprising Bombay Stock Exchange's Sensitive Index and National Stock Exchange's S&P Nifty, HDFC has the highest P-Notes holding in value, 14.2 per cent, followed by ICICI Bank's 9.1 per cent.
Analysts expect that Bharti Airtel, Reliance Communications (RCom) and Idea Cellular will post over 50 per cent annual growth in revenues (year-on-year) and more than 10 per cent sequential growth (over the previous quarter). Bharti continues to lead in the subscriber addition race (2.1 million in August).
Analysts at stock broking houses Motilal Oswal, Religare Securities, IL&FS Investsmart and Sharekhan say that while Maruti Udyog is doing well, the other biggies Tata Motors and Mahindra & Mahindra would have weak single-digit performances that could lead to a decline in net profit.
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